Nomograma prediz o risco de melanoma recorrência após Sentinela Negative Nó Biópsia
dezembro 20, 2018
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Current treatment guidelines do not adequately cover what kind of surveillance and treatment should apply to patients with melanoma after a negative sentinel node biopsy.
Measures of ulceration, Breslow thickness, and microsatellitosis in the primarymelanomaafter a negative sentinel node biopsy (SNB) are predictive of recurrence risk at 1, 2, 5, e 10 anos, de acordo com um estudo publicado no Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology.
Current treatment guidelines do not adequately cover what kind of surveillance and treatment should apply to patients with melanoma after a negative SNB, and there is little data on appropriate adjuvant treatments for Stage II patients, even though they are still at risk of recurrence. No estudo atual, researchers sought to create a nomogram designed to evaluate recurrence risk for patients with a negative SNB based on pathological and clinical characteristics of the primary melanoma. Researchers conducted a retrospective analysis of patients at the Skin Cancer Department of AC Camargo Cancer Center in São Paulo, Brazil, who underwent a SND between 2000 e 2015 (N=1213).
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Among those patients, 79.7% (n=967) had a negative SNB. These patients had a mean follow-up of 59.67 meses, com 133 melanoma recurrences (13.8%). Forty-five of the 133 recurrences (33.8%) presented with a nodal recurrence, e 35 (26.3%) with a recurrence at the SNB site. Study investigators used the patient data to create a nomogram that assigned points to the 3 most predictive melanoma characteristics (ulceration, Breslow thickness, and microsatellitosis) to determine the probability of survival at 1, 2, 5, e 10 anos.
Por exemplo, a hypothetical patient with a primarymelanoma tumorthat has ulceration (61 points), uma 2 mm Breslow thickness (10 points), and does not have microsatellitosis (0 points) would have a total score of 71 points using the nomogram. This can predict that the hypothetical patient has a 90% probability of being recurrence-free after the first year, 77% after year 2, 64% after year 5, e 50% after year 10, with a C-index of 0.749.
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Despite the limitations of conducting the analysis at a single treatment center, study investigators concluded they were able to create “a predictive nomogram for melanoma patients after a negative SNB. It is easy to be used and can help both clinicians and patients to provide an individualized follow-up program, as well as to identify high-risk patients who should be considered for adjuvant treatments.”